Advances in Manufacturing ›› 2020, Vol. 8 ›› Issue (3): 369-379.doi: 10.1007/s40436-020-00311-4

• • 上一篇    

Two-dimensional extreme distribution for estimating mechanism reliability under large variance

Zhi-Hua Wang1,2, Zhong-Lai Wang1,2, Shui Yu1,2   

  1. 1 School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, People's Republic of China;
    2 Center for System Reliability and Safety, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, People's Republic of China
  • 收稿日期:2019-10-20 修回日期:2019-12-05 发布日期:2020-09-10
  • 通讯作者: Zhong-Lai Wang E-mail:wzhonglai@uestc.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    This research was partially supported by National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2017YFB1302301) and the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities (Grant No. ZYGX2019J043).

Two-dimensional extreme distribution for estimating mechanism reliability under large variance

Zhi-Hua Wang1,2, Zhong-Lai Wang1,2, Shui Yu1,2   

  1. 1 School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, People's Republic of China;
    2 Center for System Reliability and Safety, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, People's Republic of China
  • Received:2019-10-20 Revised:2019-12-05 Published:2020-09-10
  • Contact: Zhong-Lai Wang E-mail:wzhonglai@uestc.edu.cn
  • Supported by:
    This research was partially supported by National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2017YFB1302301) and the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities (Grant No. ZYGX2019J043).

摘要: The effective estimation of the operational reliability of mechanism is a significant challenge in engineering practices, especially when the variance of uncertain factors becomes large. Addressing this challenge, a novel mechanism reliability method via a two-dimensional extreme distribution is investigated in the paper. The time-variant reliability problem for the mechanism is first transformed to the time-invariant system reliability problem by constructing the two-dimensional extreme distribution. The joint probability density functions (JPDFs), including random expansion points and extreme motion errors, are then obtained by combining the kernel density estimation (KDE) method and the copula function. Finally, a multidimensional integration is performed to calculate the system time-invariant reliability. Two cases are investigated to demonstrate the effectiveness of the presented method.

The full text can be downloaded at https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40436-020-00311-4

关键词: Time-variant reliability, Great variance, Twodimensional, Extreme distribution, Kernel density estimation (KDE), Multidimensional, Integration

Abstract: The effective estimation of the operational reliability of mechanism is a significant challenge in engineering practices, especially when the variance of uncertain factors becomes large. Addressing this challenge, a novel mechanism reliability method via a two-dimensional extreme distribution is investigated in the paper. The time-variant reliability problem for the mechanism is first transformed to the time-invariant system reliability problem by constructing the two-dimensional extreme distribution. The joint probability density functions (JPDFs), including random expansion points and extreme motion errors, are then obtained by combining the kernel density estimation (KDE) method and the copula function. Finally, a multidimensional integration is performed to calculate the system time-invariant reliability. Two cases are investigated to demonstrate the effectiveness of the presented method.

The full text can be downloaded at https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40436-020-00311-4

Key words: Time-variant reliability, Great variance, Twodimensional, Extreme distribution, Kernel density estimation (KDE), Multidimensional, Integration